2009 Jul 22 8:42 AM
The computing power of a human brain is estimated at 1016 cps (calculations per second). Neurons in the brain fire slowly but make up for their lack of speed with massively parallel processing. Computer power is growing exponentially, doubling every few years. Some say that the rapid growth of computing power will come to an end, but I disagree. The theoretical limit of computing according to the laws of physics is very high: a laptop having 1 kg of computing hardware can perform up to 1050 cps. Thus the theoretical limit of even a laptop is greater than the computing power of all of humanity.
By 2020 we should have super computers which have as much processing power as the human brain. By 2030 we should have laptop computers with as much processing power as the human brain. By 2050 we should have a computer which has as much computing power as all of humanity.
With so much computing power in a computer it is inevitable that a computer will pass the turing test. Computers will be intelligent enough to fool people into thinking they are human. Computers and robots will take over routine and physical tasks.
Humans will have a life of leisure as robots become their willing servants. Despite being humanly intelligent, computers can be programmed to follow human orders. This will definitely happen sometime in the late 21st century.
Al Lal
"Imagination is more important than knowledge" - Albert Einstein
2009 Jul 22 12:24 PM
Hi,
Computing power is just number crushing ablility : nothing to do with intelligence.
To get real "artificial intelligence" you need the right software to exploit this computing power.
>Humans will have a life of leisure as robots become their willing servants. Despite being humanly intelligent, computers can be >programmed to follow human orders. This will definitely happen sometime in the late 21st century.
We are very very far from it in my opinion. Don't read too much Science fiction novels...
Olivier
2009 Jul 23 10:22 AM
>
> Hi,
>
> Computing power is just number crushing ability : nothing to do with intelligence.
> To get real "artificial intelligence" you need the right software to exploit this computing power.
Scientists are making great progress in discovering how the brain works. Software can be developed to imitate the way the brain works.
>
> >Humans will have a life of leisure as robots become their willing servants. Despite being humanly intelligent, computers can be >programmed to follow human orders. This will definitely happen sometime in the late 21st century.
>
>
> We are very very far from it in my opinion. Don't read too much Science fiction novels...
>
> Olivier
So although you disagree with my timeline, you agree that eventually computers will become intelligent.
As machines become more human, humans will become more machine like. Humans will improve their computing power and memory capacity artificially.
Al Lal
:Imagination is more important than knowledge" - Albert Einstein
2009 Jul 22 12:35 PM
And very shortly after this and some little programming error with unforeseeable consequences (even to Nostradamus) we will all return to subsistence living in rural areas - which will basically be everywhere.
So don't neglect your veggie-garden! There is also a very fine cauliflower soup recipe here on SDN!
Cheers,
Julius
2009 Jul 22 1:19 PM
T-800: The Skynet Funding Bill is passed. The system goes on-line August 4th, 1997. Human decisions are removed from strategic defense. Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, August 29th. In a panic, they try to pull the plug.
Sarah Connor: Skynet fights back.
T-800: Yes. It launches its missiles against the targets in Russia.
John Connor: Why attack Russia? Aren't they our friends now?
T-800: Because Skynet knows the Russian counter-attack will eliminate its enemies over here.
2009 Jul 23 8:25 AM
any day i love to live in a place surrounded with natural beauties than so called robots invented by humans
regards,
vijay.
2009 Jul 23 9:33 AM
That reminds me of a great insult "You're so dumb you'd fail the turing test"
2009 Jul 23 9:54 AM
And that reminds me of the typical Yo Mama Jokes: Your mama so black that her shadow screamed at her - You are blacker than me!!!.
pk
2009 Jul 23 10:14 AM
matt wrote :
That reminds me of a great insult "You're so dumb you'd fail the turing test"
Thats
AI in short empowering machines to do all the things what human does today ............which is no better than slavery
mfg,
Vijay.